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      Can We Trust The Polls?

      a week ago

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      Can we rely on polls after the 2016 elections. In the 21st century optimism in some cases have been replaced with pessimism especially in politics. The level of anxiety and fear created by the results or lack thereof 2016 elections keeps the American people wonder how falsehood replaced truth.


      The 2018 midterms are considered the most important elections of our life time. We all are somewhat aware that elections determine what type of country we would like to live in going forward. However, some Americans that vote are still living in a country that they did not vote for in order to obtain that "Life, Liberty and the pursuit of Happiness" that The Declaration of Independence describes.


      Fortunately, there are some level of do overs when it comes to elections because they occur every two years. Unfortunately, we have to brave the chaos that we are currently experiencing under the current administration that is be aided and abetted by the Republican Party and certain Democrats that vote with the former. Hopefully, Wednesday morning will create a positive change from what we have and the light will begin to shine.

      "WASHINGTON (CNN)On the eve of the midterm elections, Democrats continue to hold a double-digit lead over Republicans in a generic congressional ballot among likely voters, according to a new CNN Poll conducted by SSRS. The party's 55% to 42% advantage in the new poll mirrors their lead in early October and is about the same as the 10-point edge they held just after Labor Day.

      "That's a slimmer edge than the party held in CNN's final poll before the 2006 midterm elections and similar to the Republicans' 10-point advantage just before the 2010 midterms."

      https://www.cnn.com/2018/11/05/politics/cnn-poll-m...

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          Logic
          7 days ago

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          The polls never have been accurate. 2016 polls were a joke. I believe it has everything to do with the questions asked and the areas selected. Any one of us can create these polls and select certain states around the US to participate in them. You can even limit the areas down to a few counties. Regardless of which side of the isle you are on polls can be perks for those running for office. Show a few polls with them ahead and people get to thinking, "That person must not be as bad as some claim." So polls can be very suggestive. They can be manipulated behind the scenes and no one would know.

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              Logic
              7 days ago

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              The last poll I took seriously declared, “Hillary Wins!” Sampling bias favoring Democrats has become a way of life. It’s an attempt to stifle conservative turnout. It doesn’t work. The polls always “tighten up” just before the actual vote (the only poll that counts), since - after the vote count - they’ll be compared with reality and their credibility will be at stake.

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                  Logic
                  7 days ago

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                  Pole dry, not raining.

                  Pole wet, raining

                  In polling, people have the habit of saying what they think the other person would like to hear. So they lie, not only to the other person, but to themselves. In this climate, the pole could be covered in Ice and some would still say it's a beautiful Summer day... :)

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