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      North Korea

      What To Expect


      POLITICO Illustration


      "I never like to make predictions, especially about the future". - Yogi Berra


      By Ray Cunneff

      June 11, 2018


      We're now less than two hours until the much-hyped "nuclear summit" between North Korea's Kim Jong Un and American president Donald Trump.

      Only hours after he blew up the G-7 meeting with our closest allies in Quebec, particularly infuriating the delegation from Canada, our biggest trading partner, Donald Trump was en route to Singapore to bring his "wrecking ball" brand of diplomacy to the razor's edge nuclear showdown in Korea.

      And with Trump's appetite for drama and pageantry, he casts himself as the star of his own ultimate reality TV extravaganza, with the fate of millions in the balance. So what should we expect?

      In many respects, the Trupistas have already telegraphed exactly what the script they intend to write will say.

      The White House this morning released a statement that discussions between the U.S. and North Korea “have moved more quickly than expected” while teasing the dramatic possibilities of a second-day meeting between Trump and Kim. But several career diplomats quickly pointed out the significant difference between "quickly" and "better" than expected.

      So at the risk of making predictions, and based upon Trump's well-worn patterns and predilections, we can expect that no matter what happens in this meeting, Donald Trump will proclaim a "tremendous" victory and shortly thereafter retire from the field, leaving it to others to sort out the details - or clean up the mess.

      It's not at all clear how well or badly this might go, but there's absolutely no doubt that the trumpoganda machine will declare it a triumph, throw around words like "historic", or "monumental", and be talking up the Nobel Peace Prize before Air Force One touches down at Andrews.

      What is less unclear is that Trump will look for symbolism over substance, magazine cover photo ops, and try to strike some sort of vague and hurried deal with Kim, something he can falsely label a "peace treaty" and a road map to denuclearization while achieving neither.

      (Remember: Trump's entourage does not include any nuclear scientists and that he is the first U.S. president since World War II not to have appointed a science adviser.)

      As for the substance of an agreement that could spring from this meeting, we should pay special attention to the reactions of our allies Japan and South Korea.

      No doubt they have witnessed Trump's boorish behavior toward other U.S. allies at the G-7 with alarm.


      https://www.politico.com/story/2018/06/11/trump-no...



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          Ray Cunneff
          2 months ago

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          Are you a reporter or just a negative thinker? You gotta be a lefty and as far as you are concerned,President Trump can do nothing right. WELL..... sorry to prove you wrong again, since you and your leftist buddies failed to do your homrwork. You guys are hoping Trumps negotiations fail... like Clintons disaster, but give credit where its due. Sheeesh.

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              Ray Cunneff
              2 months ago

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              As I see it, this meeting led to very few commitments. OK, the US is going to stop exercises near the border, but as Trump said, that will save money. It would make diddly squat difference to the US military power of capability in the region. The sanctions remain intact, the North has promised to denuclearise, but they did not say when or what that means, the North will let the bodies of US servicemen be returned to the US, the north will demolish a missile launch site. Trump hardly gave away the farm, in fact he does not seem to have given away anything of substance, but he hasn't received anything of substance either. Just another photo op.

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                  Ian Miller
                  2 months ago

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                  Virtually everyone who has negotiated with North Korea has said similar things: They never say "no", but they also never say "yes". They are decades-long masters of stringing negotiations along, which makes establishing firm timelines so critical - something entirely missing in this Trump-Kim "agreement".

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                          Ray Cunneff
                          2 months ago

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                          Trump did make a positive meeting, but he gave away the farm with nothing in return. North Korea only committed themselves to destroying some nuclear facilities. If last week's little explosion is something to be learned, it will be obsolete facilities, definitely not part of the current North Korea nuclear effort. There will be no verification process, expect a bus load of journalists taken to some remote place to watch some old mine shafts being blown up.


                          In return Trump will stop the military exercises involving US and South Korean troops. This is basically abandoning South Korea, those exercises were critical in maintaining a high level of combat effectiveness.


                          This is where Trump's complete lack of preparation hurts the free world. Anyone with any understanding in how the military works fully understand that cancelling military exercises reduces the fighting ability by a major factor. Meanwhile, Kim was fully prepared and he brought his posse with him. He had his experts at his side, be brought a well trained and equipped team for negotiations. And he won.


                          As far as prestige at home, yes trump does earn some points. But it is nothing compared to how Kim has elevated himself in the eyes of his people.



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                              David Killens
                              2 months ago

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                              Oh geeez Louise...another critic from the unknown. Please enumerate on Trump giving away the farm. Hostages back and no payment needed. US servicemen killed in NK to be returned as much as is possible. De-nuclearization will be verifiable, officially, not by a gaggle of so call reporters.... you leftys have it all wrong as usual.

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                                      Ray Cunneff
                                      2 months ago

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                                      Yes, two autocrats is in discussion of world peace. One is great in making an impression and selling stuff that usually later is rejected. The younger is smart, paranoid , brutal and good with details.

                                      What can possibly go wrong, think South Korea and Japan are waiting for the moment it falls apart, will be during the discussions or when writing a real agreement!

                                      Sorry for being that sceptical. Just have little faith into dramatic effects, accept in a movie theater!

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